Outcome shares as tokens
Each market mints two ERC-20 tokens — YES and NO. Together they always equal $1. Buy whichever side you think wins; sell back to exit before resolution.
Trade prediction markets.
USDC-settled, on-chain.
Buy YES or NO shares on real-world events. Markets resolve from an on-chain oracle. Winners claim USDC the moment resolution settles.
What you get
5 things that distinguish Primeborg Prediction
On-chain oracle resolution
Markets resolve from a designated on-chain data source (Pyth, Chainlink, or a UMA optimistic oracle). The resolver is named when the market is created, so you know upfront who decides.
Permissionless market creation
Anyone can propose a market. Mandatory parameters: question, resolution source, end date, initial liquidity. The community can dispute malformed markets during the review window.
Liquidity provider rewards
Provide USDC to a market's AMM pool, earn a share of trading fees. Withdrawal locked until market resolves to prevent rugpulls on the LP side.
Portfolio + analytics
See your live positions, unrealized P&L, time-to-resolution per market, and historical resolution accuracy. Export to CSV for tax reporting.
Frequently asked
Honest answers, not marketing
Is this gambling?
It depends on your jurisdiction. Prediction markets are regulated as derivatives in the US (CFTC), as gambling in some EU countries, and as commodity trading in others. Primeborg geo-blocks the prediction module in jurisdictions where it would be considered unlicensed gambling. You're responsible for knowing what's legal where you are.
How is the resolution oracle picked?
The market creator names the oracle when the market is proposed. Common choices: Pyth for prices, Chainlink for sports scores, UMA Optimistic Oracle for general truth-claims. The oracle name is visible on every market — never opaque.
What if the oracle resolves wrong?
There's a dispute window (typically 48-72 hours) before resolution finalizes. During that window, anyone can post a bond and challenge the oracle's answer. Challenges go to a higher-trust arbitration layer (typically UMA's data verification mechanism).
Can the markets be manipulated?
Yes — every prediction market is susceptible to manipulation, especially low-liquidity ones near resolution time. The protocol minimizes this through dispute windows, oracle diversity, and visible LP depth. But you should always check the order book before trading.
How is this different from a sports book?
A sports book is a counterparty to your bet — they set the odds, take the other side, and pay you when you win. Prediction markets are a peer-to-peer exchange — you buy YES from someone else who's selling, and the protocol just matches you. The price is the market's aggregated probability, not a bookmaker's margin.